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NCAA Football Wake Forest vs Clemson Analysis

Scott Morris | October 25, 2012

Regular readers of Sportsbook Advisor know that we don’t like betting along aside the public on games. But that does not mean that you should never do it. Once in awhile there are times and circumstances when you must do so. For instance tonights game of Wake Forest vs. Clemson.  80% of the public is currently on Clemson. That is a huge number. But we cannot help but liking Clemson in the matchup tonight. It is true that Wake is 3-1 straight up at home. But two of those victories were against Liberty and Army and the loss was against Duke.  You can see the level of talent of the teams we are talking about here. They are nowhere near the talent level of a Clemson. Last week Clemson demolished Virginia Tech 38-17. Virginia Tech is a two touchdown better team than Wake Forest. So you can see our logic in liking Clemson here.

Sometimes the bet is all about value. You may not love a selection or even believe in it for that matter. But you have to bet value and that, in the long run, is what sports betting is all about. The Clemson -12.5 spread is a value play in that Wake will be chasing Clemson the whole game trying to catch up. You can bet the Wake faithful will be amped up tonight being featured on Thursday Night Football but we expect them to be deflated by the fourth quarter and can see Clemson winning by three touchdowns. Take Clemson.

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NCAAF Sharp Action Report

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AP Top 25 College Football Poll

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AP TeamW/LSeason StartLive Odds
1Texas0-0+600+550
2Penn State0-0+700+700
3Ohio State0-0+675+650
4Clemson0-0+850+850
5Georgia0-0+650+650
6Notre Dame0-0+1000+1000
7Oregon0-0+1200+1400
8Alabama0-0+900+900
9LSU0-0+1200+1200
10Miami FL0-0+2800+2500
11Arizona St.0-0+12500+12500
12Illinois0-0+15000+15000
13South Carolina0-0+6600+6600
14Michigan0-0+3300+3300
15Florida0-0+3300+3300
16SMU0-0+10000+10000
17Kansas State0-1+10000OFF
18Oklahoma0-0+4000+4000
19Texas A&M0-0+3300+3300
20Indiana0-0+12500+12500
21Ole Miss0-0+4000+4500
22Iowa State1-0+20000OFF
23Texas Tech0-0+10000+12500
24Tennessee0-0+6600+7500
25Boise State0-0+25000+15000